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Topic: Florida Weather Report

  1. #2031
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    Yikes, that escalated quickly. Hurricane Delta (as it now is, having been a mere tropical disturbance little more than 24 hours ago) is now strengthening rapidly and could hit the northern Gulf coast as a monster Category 4 storm. It would be a record 10th storm to impact the US mainland in a year, and a FIFTH hurricane, and the official hurricane 'season' doesn't finish until the end of November.

    I don't think 2020 is going to go down as anyone's favourite year...

  2. #2032
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    That's not looking good for the coastal areas.
    91/92/95HI MGE;97NYC/Cali/Ariz/Chicago;98St.Petes Bch/Hyatt K'mee;00C'water Bch/Dixie Landings;02South'n Dunes;05Ft.Myers/Keys/Ft Lauderdale/BW LBV;06Indian Ridge;07Ind. Ridge;08Sanibel/Ind. Ridge;09Sarasota/Ind. Ridge;10Sanibel/Ind. Ridge;11Ind. Ridge;12Sanibel/West Haven;13West Haven;14Sanibel/West Haven;15Sanibel/West Haven;15West Haven;16Panhandle tour/Ashley Manor;16Loma Linda;17Sanibel/Loma Vista;18Gulf Coast/St Ag/West Haven;19Sanibel/Venice Beach/West Haven

  3. #2033
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    Category four! That's not good..

  4. #2034
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    It might 'only' be a Category 3 by the time it makes landfall (almost certainly on Louisiana) but that difference from 3-4 is largely immaterial, as the storm surge will still be significant (in the 7-11ft region). This is the 25th named storm of the year, and that has never happened before November before.

  5. #2035
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    Hopefully that is the last major storm we'll see this year, as the northern Gulf Coast has taken an absolute pounding in the last month or so that will take several years to recover from

    Here in Central Florida, things have reverted to roughly October Normal, with warm and still humid weather, punctuated by small, fast-moving showers. The rainfall has been significantly less than September's and temperatures are pretty much where they should be (dropping from the recent 93F/34C to around 87/30.5).

    This is typically the month where things change noticeably from the heat of summer to a more autumnal aspect (less rain and humidity), and the 10-day forecast does show things trending firmly in that direction, to the point where only one day shows a "40% chance of storms." Typically, October produces only around 3-4 inches of rain and gives us temp variations from 94 to 76 (34.5-24.5). By the end of the month, we should be approaching our 'sweet spot' when we can have all the doors and windows open in the evening. We should also see the start of regular cold fronts that drop the temp quite a bit in the course of 24 hours, before a steady increase again, and then another drop. By Nov 1, the temp should be averaging around 82/27.5 and dropping well into the 60s at night.

  6. #2036
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    An interesting stat on our local weather report this week:

    Orlando usually gets around 100 days of the year at or above 90F/32C. So far this year we've had 132. Yes, we knew it was hot, but that's a pretty startling statistic, with the obvious addition that we're likely to get a few more days that hot before the year is out!

    ETA: Make that 133 days, as we just hit 90 again this afternoon!
    Last edited by Simon Veness; 16-10-2020 at 08:30 PM.

  7. #2037
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    The first real sign of autumn - temps have dropped from the 90s back into the mid-80s in the last couple of days, and the 10-day forecast shows nothing higher than 85F/29C, as well as some very unsettled weather that is usually a sign of the changing seasons. We've had a fair few showers over the weekend, and that looks like continuing this week with a mix of more showers and occasional thunderstorms. The usual humidity is also dropping fast (from 80-plus per cent in recent weeks to barely 70% today. There is also a strong and consistent northerly component to the weather, when our summer patterns are more westerly. We're not cooling off a lot at night, but we are starting the day at a comfortable 73/23 instead of the more recent 80/26.5. Roll on autumn!!

  8. #2038
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    Come back all I said about the humidity. After 3 straight days of heavy overcast and regular showers, the humid quotient of our atmosphere has jumped way back up to around 94% and, while the temp has stayed at around 85F/29.5C, it definitely feels warmer and muggier. The usual drop-off in pollens and other allergy-producing elements has also not happened as yet, and that means there is still lots of sneezing and snuffling in the Veness household (and throughout the region!).

    The unsettled nature of the weather is supposed to continue through the next 4 days, and then we should see something of a respite with a dryer, less humid spell. Usually by the end of October our temp has dropped to a daily average of around the 80-82/26-27 mark, but for it still to be this warm is definitely in keeping with the year as a whole (i.e. hot!). October's average temp is supposed to be 85, but this month has been 91/32.5 so far, so yet another month that is way warmer than normal (if there is such a term any more!).

    We have had 2.56ins of rain in October to date, which is slightly below average (the first dry-ish month since May), but it has come in much smaller amounts throughout the month, so it has still felt pretty wet.

  9. #2039
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    Tropical Storm update: With Hurricane Epsilon (No.26 of the year) fading away in the Atlantic, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is now tracking a possible 27th storm away in the Caribbean, with a tropical wave just west of Jamaica. It's hard to imagine yet another major storm but, if it does form, it would be only 1 short of the all-time record (2005), when we had 28. The average is 12. Can we get to 2021, please...?

  10. #2040
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    And, sure enough, Tropical Storm Zeta is now in motion, building up strength in the Caribbean and taking aim at the Gulf. One early forecast has it building into a Cat 1 hurricane and taking aim directly at the SAME Louisiana coastline that has already been hit twice this year. It's unthinkable that it could happen again (two with the same landfall was unheard of before this year) but it is just symptomatic both of 2020 and of the rapidly accelerating threat of climate change. This is now very real and very worrying

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